Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 10.756171 11.992631 13.326424 14.874255 16.623681 18.542662 20.811123
2025-06-15 8.971518 10.657448 12.607415 15.038025 17.998427 21.501880 25.984032
2025-06-22 7.432127 9.323370 11.646849 14.730536 18.744380 23.830770 30.826076
2025-06-29 6.199590 8.158558 10.696984 14.260291 19.185711 25.830626 35.604124
2025-07-06 5.316778 7.303508 10.004534 13.994789 19.824056 28.160383 41.223262
2025-07-13 4.808677 6.875874 9.815983 14.375162 21.398198 32.025096 49.744454
2025-07-20 4.393737 6.517398 9.665701 14.772322 23.039142 36.234494 59.585139
2025-07-27 3.992609 6.121928 9.399595 14.939349 24.327842 40.078202 69.557234
2025-08-03 3.578733 5.651675 8.951683 14.739874 24.966321 42.922866 78.322004
2025-08-10 3.218404 5.221844 8.511308 14.482438 25.449552 45.549926 87.177359
2025-08-17 2.910665 4.842104 8.105654 14.222826 25.876055 48.119799 96.411694
2025-08-24 2.660506 4.531580 7.780160 14.058122 26.443700 51.031484 106.923827
2025-08-31 2.448039 4.269532 7.519652 13.997879 27.242706 54.616973 119.878954
2025-09-07 2.322065 4.149330 7.502751 14.404427 29.049607 60.626104 139.806325
2025-09-14 2.142680 3.911002 7.237400 14.279914 29.726234 64.315961 155.103848
2025-09-21 1.958434 3.644394 6.888057 13.935756 29.871620 66.834074 168.084063
2025-09-28 1.811984 3.436044 6.630237 13.749766 30.340702 70.193104 184.144128
2025-10-05 1.740943 3.369774 6.651347 14.173261 32.294818 77.549631 213.321571
2025-10-12 1.675215 3.307273 6.672644 14.599215 34.326523 85.512401 246.588770
2025-10-19 1.593894 3.204131 6.596032 14.787849 35.799029 92.297921 278.271973
2025-10-26 1.489827 3.042810 6.376009 14.606323 36.288904 96.483612 302.816868
2025-11-02 1.390474 2.882598 6.142309 14.361798 36.574567 100.153586 326.773920
2025-11-09 1.299529 2.732791 5.917426 14.111365 36.807146 103.725917 351.556354